Hormuz Standoff: Who Blinks First as US Blockade Hits 100% Effectiveness?

The recent expiration of the Memorandum of Understanding between Iran and the United States has left maritime operators in the Strait of Hormuz navigating an uncertain security landscape. With no formal agreement in place, both nations are sending mixed signals, complicating efforts to predict the region’s stability. Iran’s political leadership remains deeply divided. President Masoud Pezeshkian and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi represent the pragmatic faction, while hardliners from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), including figures like Ahmad Vahidi and Mohsen Rezaei, have gained influence in recent weeks. These internal…

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